Super Regional Cheat Sheet

ProjectThreeStraight · 2026 NCAA Baseball Tournament
Super Regional
Preview Hub
All 8 Super Regionals previewed, analyzed, and picked. Click any matchup for the full breakdown.
8 Super Regionals
16 Teams Remaining
June 6–8 Weekend
Analysis by Collin Wilson

Eight series, eight venues, eight programs chasing Omaha. From the most dominant individual pitching line in the bracket (Volantis at -379 in Austin) to the biggest Cinderella story of the tournament (St. John’s in Tuscaloosa), the 2026 Super Regional field delivers four days of the best college baseball of the year. Full previews, three-game pitching projections, team comparison tables, wind maps, and series picks for every matchup are linked below.

Athens, GA · Foley Field · June 6–8
Mississippi State
Mississippi State
Seed #16 · RPI #13
at
Georgia
Georgia
Seed #3 · RPI #7
Valincius (2.52 ERA, 105 K, Boo Ferriss Trophy) vs. Foley Field and a 46-12 Georgia lineup. G1 line: -107 Georgia. Team ERA comparison: UGA 5.06, MSU 4.30. FIP and xFIP both favor Mississippi State; offense and home crowd favor the Bulldogs.
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Auburn, AL · Plainsman Park · June 5–7
Ole Miss
Ole Miss
At-Large · RPI #16
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Auburn
Auburn
Seed #4 · RPI #3
Auburn’s 3.47 team ERA (rank #3) and K:BB ratio #1 nationally against an Ole Miss offense ranked #120 in OBP. Marciano opens at -162. Auburn’s walks allowed rank #167; Ole Miss’s best path is patience and deep counts. BaseRuns nearly identical at 6.94 vs. 6.89.
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Morgantown, WV · Kendrick Family Ballpark · June 5–7
Cal Poly
Cal Poly
Big West Champ · RPI #73
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West Virginia
West Virginia
Seed #14 · RPI #17
Cole (-212) and Yehl (-280) in back-to-back games; WVU favored in all three projected starters including Korn at -285 in Game 3. The most lopsided three-game projected set in the field. Cal Poly’s H/9 rank of #7 is the lone elite number against a 37-14 Mountaineer program hosting its first-ever Super Regional.
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Troy, AL · Riddle-Pace Field · June 5–7
Little Rock
Little Rock
Sun Belt At-Large · RPI #89
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Troy
Troy
Regional Host · RPI #35
Tommy Egan’s Game 3 line of -327.64 is the largest single-game spread in the entire Super Regional bracket. Troy’s SOS of #6 nationally against Little Rock’s #119. The Trojans’ BaseRuns of 7.17 vs. 5.83 reflects a 1.34-run expected production gap. Little Rock’s hits-allowed rank of #10 is their only elite number.
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Chapel Hill, NC · Boshamer Stadium · June 5–7
USC
So. California
At-Large · RPI #9
at
North Carolina
North Carolina
Seed #5 · RPI #4
The most statistically compelling series of the weekend: USC’s FIP (4.91) and xFIP (5.03) are better than UNC’s (5.22 and 5.44) despite being the road underdog. USC’s H/9 ranks #1 nationally; UNC’s BaseRuns of 8.23 vs. USC’s 6.72 is the 1.5-run gap that tips it to the host. Game 1 line of -127 is the closest opener in the field.
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Lawrence, KS · Hoglund Ballpark · June 6–8
Oklahoma
Oklahoma
At-Large · RPI #24
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Kansas
Kansas
Seed #12 · Big 12 Champs
Both teams share the exact same national ERA rank (#97) and nearly identical team ERAs (5.31 vs. 5.33); the series turns on Voegele (-225 in Game 1), Kansas’s BaseRuns advantage (8.07 vs. 6.85), and the first Super Regional in Hoglund Ballpark history. Oklahoma FIP of 6.12 is the largest in this matchup.
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Tuscaloosa, AL · Sewell-Thomas Stadium · June 6–8
St. John's
St. John’s
Big East Champ · RPI #102
at
Alabama
Alabama
Seed #7 · SOS #2
The biggest Cinderella story of the tournament: St. John’s RPI #102, SOS #172, xFIP 6.21 against Alabama’s SOS #2, ERA rank #20, and xFIP 5.26. The largest resume gap in the Super Regional field. St. John’s fielding rank of #40 vs. Alabama’s #240 is the one category the Red Storm wins cleanly.
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Austin, TX · UFCU Disch-Falk Field · June 6–8
Oregon
Oregon
Seed #13 · RPI #15
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Texas
Texas
Seed #6 · RPI #5
The best pitching matchup of the weekend; both staffs rank top-17 in ERA, top-10 in WHIP, top-16 in K:BB. Volantis at -379.49 in Game 2 is the largest single-game line in the entire bracket. Texas xFIP of 4.40 vs. Oregon’s 5.06 is the key advanced metric gap. BaseRuns: Texas 8.49, Oregon 7.34.
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Analysis by Collin Wilson · ProjectThreeStraight 2026 NCAA Baseball · Super Regionals
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
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