Florida @ Texas
Florida -6.5 (-105)
This is a Florida team that likes to pound the paint . Texas doesn’t have the kind of height it would need to challenge Florida defensively. KenPom rates Florida (91.5) a much lower score than Texas (106.9) in adjusted defensive efficiency. If Florida plays their normal physical style, the Longhorns will struggle to keep up. Looking at the offense, Texas is ranked 102nd in three point shots, while Gators are 345th.
This game has the potential to be close, particularly if Texas is allowed to shoot the three. Top scorers for both teams (Haugh and Swain) are averaging 17 points per game, so expect to hear their names early and often. Against ranked teams this season, Texas has been able to go 4-3. They get to have this game at home too. But Florida is on a 7-game win streak and looking to continue steamrolling their way to March. I expect they will have this in hand by 7 or more.
St. Johns @ UConn
St. Johns ML (+190)
This is Wednesday’s most touted game . It is the only Top 25 ranked game for the evening slate. St. Johns is much better than UConn with rebounds, giving them a better shot for second chance points. UConn will find it difficult to guard Edigifor, Mitchell and Hopkins, since all can contribute. I cannot discount the fact that they will be playing at UConn- or well, PeoplesBank Arena in Hartford. This Huskies team wins more often than not with a 13-2 record this season at home.
As the reader may be aware, earlier this season the Red Storm snapped UConn’s 18-game win streak. After UConn ultimately lost to St. Johns (81-72), I think the Huskies are wanting to even the record at home. Rick Pitino’s teams are usually capable of overcoming hostile environments. They’re 8-0 this year on the road. I’m trusting the earlier 9 point difference to weather the storm.
Current Record: 1-3
